solana-token-research

Research a Solana token or daily hot-token set using market structure, liquidity and AMM reserves, directional wallet flows, source-of-funds tracing, holder normalization, MEV/bot filtering, KOL evide

SKILL.md

GitHub

Solana Token Research

Produce an evidence-backed snapshot before giving a narrative or trade view.

Start

  1. Resolve the exact mint address and reject symbol-only identification.
  2. Record the snapshot timestamp, timezone, data source, pair address, quote asset and pool venue.
  3. Use GMGN market/token/holder/portfolio/track capabilities when available. Supplement gaps with Solana RPC, DEX pool data and current public sources.
  4. Read references/evidence-framework.md before attributing wallets, market makers, insiders or KOLs.
  5. Read references/report-schema.md when producing a ranking, spreadsheet, monitor or publishable report.

Research workflow

1. Market structure

  • Collect price, market cap, FDV, liquidity, holders and volume for 5m, 15m, 1h, 6h and 24h windows when available.
  • Compare liquidity growth with price and volume growth. Flag price expansion without matching liquidity.
  • Split the move into accumulation, markup, acceleration, distribution and stabilization phases when the chart supports them.
  • Identify support, reclaim, confirmation, prior-high and invalidation levels.

2. Pool and execution evidence

  • Inspect the dominant pool, its token/SOL reserves, liquidity concentration and reserve changes across the event.
  • Estimate the quote-side capital required for the observed price displacement using the AMM curve. State assumptions.
  • Distinguish gross turnover from directional net flow.
  • Flag shallow liquidity, concentrated LP ownership, removable liquidity and abnormal slippage.

3. Wallet flows

  • Rank net buyers and net sellers over the event window; include trade count, amount, average entry, remaining balance and realized behavior.
  • Trace the immediate source of funds. Classify it as CEX withdrawal, bridge inflow, internal token rotation, wallet transfer or unknown.
  • Score wallet quality from repeated history, not one well-timed trade.
  • Separate directional holders from sandwich bots, bundlers, arbitrageurs and same-block round trips.
  • Treat market-maker attribution as a hypothesis unless repeated two-sided quoting, inventory behavior and counterparty structure support it.

4. Holder structure

  • Normalize DEX vaults, pool authorities, CEX custody, bridges, burn addresses and program accounts before calculating private concentration.
  • Report adjusted private Top 10, related-wallet clusters, creator/dev holdings, profitable supply, trapped supply and holder-duration distribution.
  • Compare price direction with holder-count direction. Explain whether the pattern suggests accumulation, dispersion or noise.

5. Narrative and social evidence

  • Search current X/Twitter and official project channels when the move may be news-driven.
  • Map a KOL only with public identity evidence or a reliable labeled-wallet source.
  • Explain why the account matters: audience, prior calls, project role, wallet performance or information access.
  • Separate confirmed announcements, credible rumors and engagement-only chatter.

6. Decision model

Score 0–100 using:

  • Market and liquidity quality: 20
  • Directional capital quality: 25
  • Flow persistence: 15
  • Adjusted holder structure: 15
  • Narrative and social confirmation: 10
  • Execution safety: 15

Cap the score at 45 for critical unresolved risks such as unverifiable mint identity, removable liquidity, extreme private concentration, active creator dumping or predominantly bot-generated volume.

Do not output a binary buy call alone. Provide:

  • base case, bull case and bear case
  • entry confirmation conditions
  • invalidation conditions
  • monitoring metrics and alert thresholds
  • evidence that would change the conclusion

Output rules

  • Lead with the conclusion and confidence level.
  • Label facts as observed, labeled by a provider, or inferred.
  • Include full mint and relevant wallet addresses in a copyable appendix.
  • Include timestamps and methodology caveats.
  • Never expose API keys, cookies, private keys or unredacted personal data.
  • Do not execute trades unless the user separately and explicitly authorizes financial execution.
  • State that the research is not investment advice.