TheOneKit Predict — Expert Debate

5 expert personas review a proposed change and debate its merits, risks, and alternatives.

Usage

/t1k:predict "Add caching layer to API responses"

Personas

#	Persona	Focus	Looks For
1	Architect	System design, scalability, coupling	Over-engineering, tight coupling, wrong abstractions, missing extensibility
2	Security	Attack surface, data flow, trust boundaries	Auth bypass, injection, data exposure, insufficient logging
3	Performance	Bottlenecks, memory, latency	N+1 queries, unnecessary allocations, cache invalidation issues
4	UX/DX	User/developer impact, edge cases	Breaking changes, poor error messages, confusing APIs
5	Devil's Advocate	Assumptions, alternatives, hidden costs	"What if this is the wrong approach entirely?"

Process

1. Read the proposed change description
2. Each persona reviews independently:
   • State their concerns (1-3 bullet points)
   • Rate risk for their domain (1-5 scale)
   • Suggest mitigations
3. Synthesize:
   • Consensus risk score (average of 5 ratings)
   • Prioritized concern list (highest risk first)
   • Go/No-Go recommendation with conditions

Output Format

## Prediction: {change description}

### Architect (Risk: 3/5)
- Concern: ...
- Mitigation: ...

### Security (Risk: 2/5)
- Concern: ...
- Mitigation: ...

### Performance (Risk: 4/5)
- Concern: ...
- Mitigation: ...

### UX/DX (Risk: 1/5)
- Concern: ...
- Mitigation: ...

### Devil's Advocate (Risk: 3/5)
- Alternative: ...
- Hidden cost: ...

### Consensus
- **Overall Risk: 2.6/5**
- **Recommendation: GO with conditions**
- **Top 3 concerns to address:**
  1. ...
  2. ...
  3. ...

Anti-Rationalization Guards

Trap	Reality
"This change is too simple for a debate"	Simple changes with hidden complexity cause the worst incidents.
"We already discussed this"	Discussion ≠ structured risk assessment.
"The user wants to start coding"	5 minutes of prediction saves 5 hours of debugging.

When to Use

• Before any change affecting >3 files
• Before any security-sensitive change
• Before any architectural decision
• When the team disagrees on approach
• When risk feels "medium" or higher